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More predictions for solid IT growth, this time from Forrester

Looks like I should have waited a couple more days before filing my post last week about Gartner’s 2011 IT spending predictions. That’s because Forrester Research has just made its own proclamation about the market, looking for even higher rates of growth.

In his blog this week, Forrester Research’s principal analyst, Andrew Bartels, says that spending in 2011 will be about the same as the trends they have tracked for 2010, about 7.1 percent or 7.2 percent. But here are the three things that Bartels believes will be different about 2011, when looking back at 2010:

  1. The growth in 2011 will be focused on NEW projects, not pent-up projects that had been put on hold. That backlog effect was largely responsible for the bounceback in spending during 2010, according to Bartels.
  2. The relatively strong forecast for software points to long-term growth trends, because recoveries are typically led by hardware sales.
  3. While the pace of growth in 2010 was driven by the healthiness of emerging markets, growth will be more balanced between the various countries in 2011, Bartels believes, with more of them pulling their weight. Bartels writes: “Growth measured in local currencies will still be highest in Latin America and EEMEA [which includes Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa], but tech vendors can expect solid growth in the much larger markets of North America, Europe and Asia Pacific.”

Here are two of Forrester Research’s specific predictions, gleaned from the company’s “2010 to 2012 Global Tech Industry Outlook.”

  • On a global basis, the research firm expects IT purchases will be $1.69 trillion in 2011, with software accounting for the largest portion of the spend at $430 billion. Of THAT amount, $148 billion will go to middleware, $212 billion will go to applications, $43 billion will go to custom-built software and $28 billion will go to operating systems.
  • The United States should account for about $601 billion of the total spending, which is an increase of about 7.5 percent over 2010.

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Does your organization use commercial ETL software for data integration? Why or why not?
It's not surprising your ETL guys advise you to steer clear of code-generating ETL tools! They would all be out of a job! The ONLY time you ever need to debug code-generated ETL code is when some fool has played around with it, or tried to perform some tasks manually when they ought to have been handed over to the code-generator.

There is NOTHING wrong with code-generation tools - they deliver results faster, the code is error-free and optimised, and they are self-documenting.

I don't see a downside here at all.

ETL tools on the other hand have a much worse track record of data warehouse delivery. They are slow to deliver, require more resources and additional tools to get the job done.

It is quite well proven now that Data Warehouse Automation tools like BIReady, Kalido, WhereScape and others get the job done in a fraction of the time and cost of ETL tools.

Go tell that to your ETL guys!
Your readers may also find real user reviews for all the major ETL tools on IT Central Station, such as Adeptia, Pentaho or Oracle Data Integrator, to be helpful when making their selection. As an example, this ODI user writes in her review, "The tool has also made metadata management more efficient, and automated the process from relational source to Hyperion Essbase." You can read the rest of her review, as well as explore what others have to say about ODI and other ETL solutions, here:
Editor's note: This article has been expanded and revised to bring it up to date.
Most of the discussion around ETL tools is around the data migration. Data in the sens of database data. What about ETL for unstructured files. We have developed tooling for the migration of fileshare or DMS files to e.g. new DMS. During the ETL the content is checked for relevance, converted and all sorts of other nice things. Would this also classify as an ETL tool? 
Hi, odubbeldam. Yes, I think a tool of that kind would qualify as ETL software. If it only handles unstructured files, I'd view it as something of a specialized ETL tool -- as opposed to ones that can deal with a mix of structured, unstructured and semi-structured data. What do you plan to do with the tool?