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Domino is dead

So, once again, Domino is dead.

That’s the gist of Ron Herardian’s article in — get this — Dominopower.com. This may be trolling but there’s a lot of truth in what Herardian, a longtime contact and a Domino partner by the way, has to say.

The tremors from Cambridge can be felt here, nearly five miles away as I type. Ed Brill et al.  must be gnashing their collective teeth.

Herardian makes good points. There’ve been ample Notes/Domino vs. Microsoft Exchange Server stories over the years. The truth is the tide ebbed for Domino some time ago. Exchange pulled ahead if only due to Microsoft’s enterprise license agreements. And Microsoft is on something like version four of its hosted Exchange, which is deployed by ISPs who, by the way, really know what they’re doing when it comes to scale.

But Exchange isn’t even the issue any longer. No one cares about Exchange. Or Domino.

Writes Herardian:

“This shift is the consolidation of small and medium enterprise systems onto Software as a Service (SaaS) offerings categorically enabled by Web 2.0 technologies such as AJAX. Large businesses in the US must stem rising costs for messaging and collaboration systems. Companies will either outsource these systems or undergo radical consolidation using more scalable, lower-cost products.”

Microsoft has acknowledged this shift in its “Live” and Online services push. Herardian does not think IBM/Lotus has done the same. Microsoft long ago came to the conclusion that on-premise e-mail is beside the point — Mail has become so cheap, such a commodity that it can easily live anywhere and users want to pay cents, not dollars, per mailbox. (Not that they would ever actually verbalize that.)

(More here on Microsoft Office Live efforts.)

Ron? Put your flak jacket on, buddy. Incoming!

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Care to elaborate on what you see as "a lot of truth" in Ron's position paper. I only see a lot of assertion, with very little in the way of justification.
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Hi Barb, Honestly, I don't see much of any truth in what Mr. Herardian wrote, just a bunch of hyperbole. It gets a lot worse in the ensuing discussion on the LNotes-L mailing list (which Ron himself prompted), where rather than discuss or defend, he resorts to name-calling and insults. http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/lnotes-l-new/message/1804 One significant chunk of Ron's editorial asserts Sun is going to take over the world. Sun has no SaaS play and isn't exactly winning new customers in the messaging space. Further, Ron failed to disclose his business interest in this area -- he makes the only e-mail migration tool from Notes to Sun. I know that his editorial wouldn't have been published on a site that required facts to support assertions. That I or others in the Lotus community paid it any attention is more a matter of DominoPower's potential as a legitimizer for this flamebait.
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SaaS is great - for the fluffy software in your life. For everything else you should keep it local, even if it costs more, because you must never rely on the WWW working all the time. PS - this arguement is brand and platform neutral!
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